Thursday, December 17, 2009

Mid-Season Comparison

This season, the UNB V-Reds are off to a record setting pace of 15-0-0 in the regular season, and have not lost to a University/College team since the AUS finals last year.  The fast start has people suggesting this team might be the best V-Reds team assembled yet.  We thought it might be interesting to see how this year's squad measures up statistically against the 2007, 2008, and 2009 versions at the mid-season mark. Some of the numbers might surprise you.  The power-play always gets a fair amount of scrutiny, but the numbers suggest it's more effective than ever.  Here's some of the more common stats:


Year
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
Record
9-3-2
12-1-1
10-2-2
14-0-0
Current AUS standings
T3
1
1
1
Goals
56
67
63
82
Assists
101
118
118
150
Goals per Game
4
4.79
4.5
5.86
Shots on Goal
418
490
534
582
Shots per Game
29.86
35
38.14
41.57
Shot percent
13.4
13.67
11.8
14.08
Power Play Opportunities
107
95
87
107
Power Play Goals
20
24
23
29
Power Play Percent
18.69
25.26
26.44
27.10
Penalties
138
114
97
112
Penalty Minutes
349
260
218
299
Penalties per Game
9.86
8.14
6.93
8
Penalty Minutes per Game
24.93
18.57
15.57
21.4
Penalty Kill Opportunities
112
93
73
66
Penalty Kill Goals Allowed
19
10
15
6
Penalty Kill Percent
83.04
89.24
79.45
90.91
Goals Allowed
45
31
40
28
Goals Allowed per Game
3.21
2.21
2.86
2
Saves
353
312
274
273
Save percent
88.9
90.96
87.26
93.02
End of Season Result
CHAMP
Silver
CHAMP
?????


Here's a look at how the scoring distribution breaks down by period over the last 4 seasons.


Mid-season Goals by Period


2006-2007 – Goals by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
19
20
15
2
56
Opponent
8
18
16
3
45


2007-2008 – Goals by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
17
25
23
2
67
Opponent
9
10
11
1
31


2008-2009 – Goals by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
21
20
21
1
63
Opponent
10
15
13
2
40


2009-2010 – Goals by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
20
33
26
3
82
Opponent
5
13
10
0
28




The shots on goal distribution by period looks like this:



Mid-season Shots by Period


2006-2007 – Shots by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
127
137
144
10
418
Opponent
140
129
118
11
398


2007-2008 – Shots by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
175
146
148
21
490
Opponent
94
126
117
6
343


2008-2009 – Shots by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
168
155
172
39
534
Opponent
97
122
79
16
314


2009-2010 –Shots by Period
Team
1
2
3
OT
TOTAL
UNB
192
193
191
6
582
Opponent
90
119
89
3
301

There's lots of hockey left to play, but so far things are looking good.  Let us know what areas you think the team needs to improve at?
By Steven Crawford

2 comments:

David Kilfoil said...

Great job Steven! One can never have too much data to mull over.

Of course UNB can improve ... that is one of the prime missions of the team - to get better every game.

The power play is slumping. For a while there is was clicking along at 30% and ahead of SMU. Having Harty out is probably one factor, but I feel they are reverting back to last year's propensity to look for the perfect pass or shot, while earlier in this season they were putting more pucks on net, quicker, and not looking so much like they were thinking about what they're doing ...

PIMs are up this year. If you ask some of the players they will say it is because they feel they're being run at more and are sticking up for themselves. I'm not sure about that. Perhaps because they're penalty kill has become so effective some V-Reds feel they can take a penalty with impunity, as they will simply kill it off ...

Goaltending seems to make lots of UNB fans nervous. Sure they boys are 15-0, and 4-0 in OT, but have they really been tested? If you're used to facing 20 or so shots, and then you get 30 or more from Alberta at Nationals are you going to be ready?

Finally, for now, some teams look to be doing a better job this season of playing the trap, clogging up the middle, getting in the lanes and hitting UNB's defence. Those same teams have forced OT. Sure UNB has won those games, but Saint Mary's owned UNB last year by doing all of the above, and I would like to see UNB do a better job of countering that kind of play.

UNB Bruins Fan said...

I think the most interesting thing to me when looking at these numbers is the period breakdown of goals and shots. The last few years UNB has been praised for their conditioning and for being the 'best 3rd period team in the AUS', and that may be true when comparing them to the other teams, but the numbers show that the 3rd isn't necessarily far and away their best period. In terms of goals differential the 2nd period has been their best this year, the first last year, the second in 07/08, and the first in 06/07. As for shot differential the first and third have been their best this year, the third last year (although that was helped greatly by a 23-0 third period against Dal), the first in 07/08, and the third in 06/07. So it seems as if the third is usually their best in terms of shots (and probably territorial edge) but not necessarily in goals...this may be due to the fact that they usually are up in the game and just 'playing out the string.' I would argue that when taking into account both goal and shot differential over the last 4 years, the first period has been UNB's best.